Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.05) 
