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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
VB

Elversberg
0 - 1
VfL Bochum


Rochelt (55'), Tekerci (84'), Jacobsen (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Losilla (85')
Antwi-Adjej (29'), Gamboa (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Elversberg 2-3 VfL Bochum

Elversberg demonstrated in the win over Leverkusen that they are more than capable of competing against Bundesliga sides, and we think Tuesday's game will be a close-fought contest, but we expect Bochum to edge out their hosts to progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
ElversbergDrawVfL Bochum
48.45% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09) 22.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.22% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (0.090999999999994 0.09)35.54% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (0.101 0.1)57.59% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.10899999999999 0.11)23.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.152 0.15)58.17% (-0.147 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 48.45%
    VfL Bochum 29.22%
    Draw 22.34%
ElversbergDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 48.45%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Elversberg 2-2 Mainz (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, August 8 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Elversberg 0-5 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, December 22 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Elversberg 4-2 St Pauli
Sunday, September 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Elversberg 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Elversberg 1-3 Augsburg
Friday, August 7 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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