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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 13, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Talwiese Rielasingen

Rielasingen
1 - 7
Holstein Kiel

Niedermann (3')
Tomizawa (9'), Colic (58'), Rasmus (88')
FT(HT: 1-5)
Wahl (15'), Serra (19'), Jae-sung (22', 24'), Bartels (29'), Porath (63'), Reese (86')
Dehm (66')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Rielasingen-Arlen and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 77.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Rielasingen-Arlen had a probability of 9.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Rielasingen-Arlen win it was 2-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Rielasingen-ArlenDrawHolstein Kiel
9.44%13.24%77.32%
Both teams to score 59.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.68%24.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.96%44.04%
Rielasingen-Arlen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.89%5.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.7%20.3%
Score Analysis
    Rielasingen-Arlen 9.44%
    Holstein Kiel 77.32%
    Draw 13.24%
Rielasingen-ArlenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 2.77%
1-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.36%
2-0 @ 0.93%
3-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 9.44%
1-1 @ 5.59%
2-2 @ 4.12%
0-0 @ 1.9%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 13.24%
0-2 @ 8.39%
0-3 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 8.32%
1-3 @ 8.25%
0-4 @ 6.19%
1-4 @ 6.14%
0-1 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 4.09%
0-5 @ 3.68%
1-5 @ 3.65%
2-4 @ 3.04%
0-6 @ 1.83%
2-5 @ 1.81%
1-6 @ 1.81%
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 5.16%
Total : 77.32%


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