Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 53%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.09) 
