Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.13) 
