Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.