SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
32.17% ( -0.1) | 23.97% ( 0.01) | 43.86% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( -0.09) | 41.87% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( -0.09) | 64.27% ( 0.09) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.1) | 25.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0.14) | 60% ( 0.14) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( 0) | 19.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% ( 0) | 51.09% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 43.86% |
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