Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.