Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.