Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 65.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Groningen in this match.
0.09) 
-0.02) 
