SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong Ajax |
38.55% ( -0.06) | 24.3% ( 0.02) | 37.15% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( -0.09) | 42.33% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( -0.09) | 64.73% ( 0.09) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( -0.07) | 21.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.74% ( -0.1) | 55.26% ( 0.1) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( -0.02) | 22.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -0.03) | 56.32% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.15% |
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