Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.89%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
