Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.