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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion

Jong AZ
3 - 1
Dordrecht

Reverson (52'), Engel (61'), Allouch (63')
Lathouwers (22'), Allouch (45+1'), Kwakman (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Longo (4')
van den Avert (47'), Schippers (82')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-0 Jong AZ
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-1 Dordrecht
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.

Result
Jong AZDrawDordrecht
61.83% (0.157 0.16) 20.29% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 17.88% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)38.88% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.79% (-0.058 -0.06)61.2% (0.055 0.05)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03)12.1% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (0.055999999999997 0.06)37.64% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.172 -0.17)35.16% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.179 -0.18)71.91% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 61.83%
    Dordrecht 17.88%
    Draw 20.29%
Jong AZDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 61.83%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 17.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-0 Jong AZ
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-2 Almere City
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-3 Jong AZ
Friday, August 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-1 MVV
Monday, August 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-3 Jong AZ
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 0-1 Helmond
Friday, April 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-1 Dordrecht
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-1 Jong Utrecht
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-0 Dordrecht
Monday, August 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-2 Roda JC
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-1 Dordrecht
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 3-2 Volendam
Friday, April 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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