SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Helmond Sport |
53.65% ( -0.16) | 23.37% ( 0.09) | 22.98% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -0.29) | 45.78% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.28) | 68.09% ( 0.28) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.16) | 17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( -0.29) | 47.12% ( 0.29) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.09) | 34.05% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( -0.1) | 70.74% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.65% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.98% |
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