Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 67.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
