Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.