Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.
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