Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.05) 
