Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 79.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.84%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
0.2) 
-0.01) 
