Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.