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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
W

Blackburn
4 - 3
Walsall

Gilsenan (21'), Ennis (40'), Garrett (50'), Buckley (67')
FT(HT: 2-2)
McEntee (19'), Tierney (37'), Maher (84')
Johnson (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-0 Walsall

Blackburn opened their Championship campaign with a win on Saturday, and they will be very confident of recording an even bigger victory against Walsall on Tuesday night. The Saddlers continued their poor away form from the 2022-23 season with a loss at Morecambe last time out, and we believe that Rovers' attacking powers will be too strong for the fourth-tier visitors at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWalsall
40.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.02%33.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47%50.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55%72.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.47%
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.06% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.02%
    Walsall 33.96%
    Draw 26.01%
Blackburn RoversDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.02%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-3 Girona
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barnsley 3-4 Blackburn
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Blackburn
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hartberg 1-4 Blackburn
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Doncaster
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Walsall
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two


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