SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Stoke City |
23.77% ( -0.93) | 22.87% ( -0.15) | 53.36% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.25) | 42.72% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( -0.25) | 65.12% ( 0.24) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( -0.9) | 31.68% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( -1.05) | 68.1% ( 1.05) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( 0.28) | 16% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.68% ( 0.52) | 45.32% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.67% Total : 23.77% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.36% |
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