SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.18%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Leicester City |
21.2% ( 1.71) | 20.61% ( 1.08) | 58.18% ( -2.79) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.8% ( -2.75) | 35.2% ( 2.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.78% ( -3.12) | 57.21% ( 3.12) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( -0.06) | 29.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0.07) | 65.75% ( 0.06) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.03% ( -1.58) | 11.97% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.62% ( -3.45) | 37.37% ( 3.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.01% Total : 21.2% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.57)1-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.36)0-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.45)0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.36)2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.28)1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.31)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.25)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.53% Total : 58.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
