SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.54% ( -0.48) | 23.27% ( 0.07) | 36.19% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 64.13% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.64% ( -0.31) | 37.35% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.33) | 59.57% ( 0.33) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( -0.34) | 18.89% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( -0.56) | 50.37% ( 0.57) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( 0.06) | 20.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.34% ( 0.1) | 53.66% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
