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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
LO

Forest Green
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Little (17', 50')
Bernard (6'), Bunker (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sweeney (5'), Moncur (34')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Leyton Orient.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawLeyton Orient
51.73% (1.076 1.08) 24.96% (-0.31 -0.31) 23.31% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 50.19% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.52 0.52)51.99% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.449 0.45)73.73% (-0.452 -0.45)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.651 0.65)20.09% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (1.036 1.04)52.33% (-1.04 -1.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-0.42 -0.42)37.19% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.416 -0.42)73.97% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 51.73%
    Leyton Orient 23.31%
    Draw 24.96%
Forest Green RoversDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 51.73%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.241 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Forest Green
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, July 19 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Harrogate
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 West Brom
Monday, July 4 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-4 Northampton
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two


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