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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
CA

Leeds
3 - 0
Crewe

Phillips (79'), Harrison (85', 90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murphy (44'), Adebisi (82'), Mandron (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.86%21.74%19.4%
Both teams to score 54.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9%43.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5%65.5%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.69%14.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.86%42.14%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99%36.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21%72.79%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 58.85%
    Crewe Alexandra 19.4%
    Draw 21.74%
Leeds UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.74%
3-1 @ 6.45%
3-0 @ 6.31%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 3.13%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.27%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.4%

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