Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
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