SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
41.36% ( -0.01) | 24.76% ( 0) | 33.88% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0) | 44.98% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% | 67.33% ( 0) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0) | 21.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.07% ( -0.01) | 54.93% ( 0.01) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.01) | 25.71% ( -0) |
