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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
BL

Norwich
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Bournemouth win 5-3 on penalties
Hugill (22'), Idah (83')
Gibbs (52')
FT
(aet)
Marcondes (43'), Genesini (90+2')
Greenwood (8')

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Norwich City 1-2 Bournemouth

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting an entertaining contest on Tuesday evening. It would certainly not be a surprise to see Norwich triumph, but we have a feeling that Bournemouth will just about have enough to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%).

Result
Norwich CityDrawBournemouth
45.86% (0.058 0.06) 24.76% (0.0040000000000013 0) 29.38% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.11% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)46.72% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.99% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)29.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)65.48% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.86%
    Bournemouth 29.38%
    Draw 24.75%
Norwich CityDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.86%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Millwall
Friday, August 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Birmingham (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, July 19 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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