With both managers likely to make wholesale changes for this cup tie, we do not expect to see a great deal of quality played out at AESSEAL New York Stadium on Tuesday.
However, the hosts will be determined to gain revenge on Morecambe after suffering defeat to them in this competition last season, and we expect them to get the job done in the form of a tight victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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