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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
CA

Sunderland
1 - 2
Crewe

Crewe win 5-3 on penalties
Rigg (64')
Batth (16'), Bennette (31'), Pritchard (33'), Ba (50')
FT
(aet)
Offord (45+1')
Powell (13'), Holicek (83'), Lunt (84'), Offord (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship
Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Mansfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Sunderland 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Even with their ludicrously short turnaround between fixtures, Sunderland should still possess too much quality for their opponents on Tuesday. The Black Cats have aspirations of reaching the Premier League by the end of the campaign, whereas Crewe are very much focused on remaining in the Football League, showcasing the contrast in expectations at both clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.46%).

Result
SunderlandDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.39%22.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.56% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.25% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)66.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (0.019999999999996 0.02)43.16% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (0.020999999999994 0.02)36.51% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)73.3% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 58.38%
    Crewe Alexandra 19.56%
    Draw 22.04%
SunderlandDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 58.38%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship
Last Game: Hartlepool 5-2 Sunderland
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: North Carolina 2-4 Sunderland
Saturday, July 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: New Mexico 2-3 Sunderland
Thursday, July 20 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: San Antonio 1-3 Sunderland
Sunday, July 16 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Mansfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-2 Crewe
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Bradford
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two


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