Carlisle
1 - 1
Lincoln

Carlisle win 4-3 on penalties

Armer (69')
Mellish (55'), Guy (90+2')

FT
(aet)

Maguire (45')
Adelakun (55'), Maguire (85'), McGrandles (90+1')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Carlisle United and Lincoln City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%).

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Lincoln City
28.88%	27.22%	43.9%

Both teams to score 48.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.12%

56.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2%

77.8%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87%

35.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12%

71.87%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26%

25.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33%

60.66%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 28.88%

Lincoln City 43.89%

Draw 27.21%

Carlisle United	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 6.72% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.88%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 8.33% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.89%