Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
-0.48) 
0.64) 
