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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
P

Crawley
2 - 2
Portsmouth

Crawley win 6-5 on penalties
Telford (8' pen.), Bremang (90+5' pen.)
Wells (16')
FT
(aet)
Robertson (74'), Scarlett (81')
Jacobs (57'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crawley Town and Portsmouth.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%).

Result
Crawley TownDrawPortsmouth
30.31% (0.869 0.87) 25.44% (0.665 0.66) 44.25% (-1.53 -1.53)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-1.694 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (-2.442 -2.44)49.23% (2.445 2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-2.241 -2.24)71.29% (2.247 2.25)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)30.1% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (-0.767 -0.77)66.23% (0.771 0.77)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (-1.701 -1.7)22.21% (1.706 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (-2.632 -2.63)55.63% (2.635 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 30.31%
    Portsmouth 44.24%
    Draw 25.44%
Crawley TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.644 0.64)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.308 0.31)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 30.31%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.644 0.64)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.479 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.338 -0.34)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Fulham
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Northampton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Newport 3-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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