Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%).