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FG
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
NT

Forest Green
1 - 1
Northampton

Harriman (14' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pollock (51')
Flores (26'), Pollock (73'), Harriman (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawNorthampton Town
44.38%26.19%29.43%
Both teams to score 51.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32%52.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68%74.32%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28%57.72%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5%32.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98%69.02%
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 44.37%
    Northampton Town 29.43%
    Draw 26.19%
Forest Green RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 7%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.43%

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