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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
PTS ACADEMY STADIUM

Northampton
5 - 0
Saints U21s

Mills (7'), Marshall (40'), Ashley-Seal (46', 58'), Chukwuemeka (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Watts (72'), (90+3')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Northampton Town and Southampton Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 73.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSouthampton Under-21s
73.16%16.55%10.29%
Both teams to score 48.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.06%38.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.74%61.25%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77%9.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.77%31.23%
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.82%46.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.14%81.85%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 73.15%
    Southampton Under-21s 10.29%
    Draw 16.55%
Northampton TownDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.1%
1-0 @ 10.15%
3-0 @ 9.61%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-1 @ 7.43%
4-0 @ 5.73%
4-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.87%
5-0 @ 2.73%
5-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.71%
6-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 73.15%
1-1 @ 7.85%
0-0 @ 4.26%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.55%
0-1 @ 3.29%
1-2 @ 3.03%
0-2 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 10.29%


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