SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
64.29% ( 1.83) | 20.19% ( -0.79) | 15.52% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.15% ( 1.54) | 42.85% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.75% ( 1.51) | 65.25% ( -1.51) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.39% ( 1.01) | 12.61% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.28% ( 2.05) | 38.72% ( -2.05) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% ( -0.4) | 40.42% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.96% ( -0.36) | 77.03% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.31)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.32% Total : 64.28% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.19% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.52% |
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