Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
