SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | HamKam |
69.93% ( 0.39) | 17.1% ( -0.12) | 12.97% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( -0.12) | 33.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.25% ( -0.14) | 55.75% ( 0.13) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% ( 0.05) | 8.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.07% ( 0.14) | 29.92% ( -0.14) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.49) | 38.24% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.99% ( -0.47) | 75% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | HamKam |
| 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 69.93% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.1% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.82% Total : 12.97% |
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