SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | FK Haugesund | 22 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 22 | -10 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sandefjord | 22 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 22 | -18 | 16 |
| 16 | Jerv | 22 | -35 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Jerv |
64.45% ( -0.16) | 18.92% ( 0.07) | 16.62% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.17) | 34.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.43% ( -0.19) | 56.57% ( 0.18) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.84% ( -0.09) | 10.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.6% ( -0.2) | 33.39% ( 0.19) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( -0) | 33.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% ( -0) | 70.64% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.23% Total : 64.45% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.92% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 16.62% |
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