Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for SK Brann in this match.