SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | FC Utrecht |
19.88% ( 0.06) | 20.45% ( 0.09) | 59.67% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.63% ( -0.34) | 36.36% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% ( -0.38) | 58.5% ( 0.38) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.14) | 31.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( -0.17) | 68% ( 0.17) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% ( -0.14) | 11.92% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.72% ( -0.31) | 37.27% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 19.88% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.45% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 59.67% |
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