Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
