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Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
De Kuip
A

Feyenoord
0 - 2
Ajax


Linssen (13'), Toornstra (37'), Aursnes (51'), Slot (72'), Nelson (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Senesi (44' og.), Tadic (81' pen.)
Gravenberch (15'), Haller (32'), Antony (34')

We said: Feyenoord 2-3 Ajax

The sides boast an array of attacking talent, so we expect loads of goals in this one. We are also backing the visitors to come away with all three points, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawAjax
23.11%21.21%55.69%
Both teams to score 62.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.36%35.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.3%57.7%
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67%28.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94%64.06%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18%12.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.84%39.16%
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 23.11%
    Ajax 55.69%
    Draw 21.21%
FeyenoordDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.93%
1-0 @ 4.58%
2-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 23.11%
1-1 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 3.63%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 7.66%
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-3 @ 5.25%
2-3 @ 4.17%
1-4 @ 3.4%
0-4 @ 2.7%
2-4 @ 2.14%
1-5 @ 1.4%
0-5 @ 1.11%
3-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 55.69%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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