SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Cambuur | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Emmen | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Emmen |
63.22% ( 0.59) | 19.49% ( -0.24) | 17.29% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.9% ( 0.48) | 36.1% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.79% ( 0.52) | 58.21% ( -0.52) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.11% ( 0.3) | 10.89% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.95% ( 0.65) | 35.04% ( -0.65) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( -0.1) | 34.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( -0.11) | 70.82% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.78% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.49% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 17.29% |
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