Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
