Heerenveen have enjoyed the better of this fixture in recent years, but they head into Saturday's contest on a poor run of results. Nonetheless, we back them to come away with a point in what should be a thrilling affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.17) 
-0.07) 
