The sides have struggled defensively of late so we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.