Heracles have already shown this season that they are more than capable of racking up points at their home ground. However, they are playing one of the in-form teams in the country, and we feel that Twente will continue on their merry way as they bid to strengthen their spot in the top three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
0.25) 
-0.36) 
